$2/$5: $1300 Deep Top Pair + Flush Draw Linecheck

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$2/$5: $1300 Deep Top Pair + Flush Draw Linecheck

$1300 eff. I open Q♠ T♠ in HJ to $20, SB calls, BB recreational player makes a clumsy raise to $50. I immediately become 90% sure that he has precisely KK or AA and call. SB calls.

I also know from observing his prior play that he's the type to stack with KK/AA 100%.. unless it's A-high board and he has KK or something.

Q♣ 6♠ 2♠ $150 SB checks, BB bets $75, I raise to $300, SB folds, BB shoves, I call

He has AA of course. Whether I hit it or not is irrelevant to the question and I don't want that to cloud your answer so I'm going to leave that out.

  1. What do you think of my line?

  2. If you don't like it, why, where did I go wrong?

  3. If you wouldn't play this the same way how would you play all streets and why?

5 Comments

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ZenFish 7 years, 11 months ago

Why do you flip for stacks as a small underdog 260bb deep if you know that he will never fold? You can play the hand like a draw, save money when you miss and get paid (at least some) when you hit.

ZenFish 7 years, 11 months ago

Happens :-)

If you flip $1250 in a $150 pot, you will lose slightly. Against AA you're 47%, so what you get back from the pot is

0.47*($1250 + $1250 + $150) = $1246

Losing $4, so raising to stack off is actually worse than folding to his cbet. Folding a 14 out draw vs likely AA is of course out of the question, hence we should call.

purbinkus 7 years, 11 months ago

You're aware he does not have a bet fold range in this spot, you should be exploiting that by realising you have no protection value in your jam right? You're using a depolarised hand against a really tight range which never calls with worse.

justgenius 7 years, 11 months ago

In this particular case IP is better to call againts a TAG V. If you are sure he just can call the flop raise then raise would be OK in order to get the River card for free. Call flop only

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