$2$5 $10 straddle, big overbet on river
Posted by 82off
Posted by
82off
posted in
Mid Stakes
$2$5 $10 straddle, big overbet on river
I'm in CO with KJhh, effective stacks about 1200
EP limps for $10, MP (villain) raises $35, I call, BB calls, straddle calls, EP limper calls.
(pot ~170) Flop KQ2o, BB checks, UTG checks, EP checks, V bets ~130, I call, other three fold.
(pot ~430) turn 2d making BDF draw, V checks, I check behind.
(pot ~430) river another 2, V bets ~1.5x pot $625, what do I do???
Board reads KQ222. I have KJ
Villian is a very solid LAG player.. I feel like river counterfeits his AK, KQ hands.. He could have AA or QQ but I block KK.. Is there a 2 in his range? AQ? Would he ever bet this much for value? I feel like it's a huge over bet to get me off chop but should I make this call for chop?
Thanks in advance for any feedback.
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My first thought was call cause you are underrepped. It looks like you have some Qx missed draws some Kx.
He can have 2x and QQ KK AA, but AA QQ and 2x will barrel turn allot.
You are high in your range.
Im going with the call unless i got a strong read.
That's what I was thinking. It seems like a pretty straightforward call against his full range which could be as low as 88+ AQo+ Axdd 10Js. He's a strong player with no real tells. I thought the bet size was the most relevant tell, leading me to believe he's bluffing or trying to get me to fold a chop.
Just so you know. I did call and he flips over QQ. He played it perfectly knowing that he can get max value against Kx on that run out and no other hand will call even a small value bet. For example, would AQ even call a half pot bet on river?
Thanks for the feedback.
Another spot I wonder about is my check behind on the turn. I'm wanting to get to showdown. I get called by several better hands and only get worse to fold there, also give chance for underpairs or missed straight or dd draws to bluff river so I think it's a pretty straightforward check behind. Any thoughts?
Imo this spot makes sense to check allot given the ranges in play here.
Seems like he got the max, nice line by him. But i don't think we played bad we are really at top of our range, i dont think we ever have stronger. There was no read available strong enough to fold 100% of our range here in a spot he could bluff. Maybe with hands like AT or AJ or 89s sometimes.
well first of all he is agressive by your description.
Im maybe betting the turn, because if he has AA, QQ, KK, AK, KQ he is checking? then he overbet.
Im probably thinking we are tie.
im betting the turn %80, and %20 checking, on the river if he calls the turn, im checking the river.
in your shoes, im calling.
I think bet folding the turn would be a descent line, saving me money in this exact situation. But I'm fairly convinced here that I'm either ahead, like he has AQ, 99-JJ, Axdd, or behind AA, QQ, AK, KQ, while I'm blocking KK. I'm not finding many 2's in his pre flop 3-bet range so I'm not too worried about that. So betting turn only gets called by better or folds out all those worse hands that might bluff river. My plan was to reevaluate on river. I would fold to a d, A or Q When it comes a third 2 I feel like I catch up or am still ahead of the range I have him on and only lose to 2 of the "possible" hands so yeah, I call.
Thanks for the feedback.
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