200z turning top pair with blocker into a bluff on the river
Posted by ssg
Posted by ssg posted in Mid Stakes
200z turning top pair with blocker into a bluff on the river
SB: $416.61
BB: $295.69
UTG: $496.35 (Hero)
HJ: $200
CO: $223.72
Hero raises to $6, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $18, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $12
villain is a reg on the nitier side runnng 22/15 3bet around 6%. vs EP is 3%
barrel 52/37
think pre and flop is standard.
Turn he made it pretty large which I think he is seeking for protection. Don't think he is 3bet UTG that wide given he is like a nit, and we have the Ad, so we are looking at one combo of KK, 2 combo of AK and 2 combo of AA. If that is his range, we probably should just fold the turn?
River is bit interesting, our range is something like AK,KK,AA, the latter two less likely as we mostly be 4b-gii 100bb effective. and AQdd,AJdd, maybe not even AJdd vs a nit, and definitely not QJdd or 89dd, 78dd.
River if we were to c/c anyway, it's better on jam this river repping flush as we have the Ad so he will be folding AK close to 100% of the time. and maybe sometimes AA? as he shouldn't expect me to turn AK into a bluff hence I almost never have a bluffing range on this river.
thoughts?
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