200nl rush, 3 barrel bluff in 3bet pot 336bb deep

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

200nl rush, 3 barrel bluff in 3bet pot 336bb deep

BB: $285.25
UTG: $39.10
HJ: $369.60
CO: $671.80
BN: $700.15 (Hero)
SB: $330
Villain is a finnish guy playing 23/18 with 9.2 3bet, 35 fold to 3bet and 18.5 4bet in 1.7k hands but i think this deep only some vague assumptions we could make of these stats. No specific dynamics between us
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 A
UTG calls $2, HJ calls $2, CO raises to $10, Hero raises to $24, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, HJ folds, CO calls $14
Preflop is w/e, villain raises after 2 limps and we 3bet him and he can't do many things about it this deep
Flop ($55.00) 2 7 T (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets $36, CO calls $36
Turn ($127.00) 2 7 T K (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets $99, CO calls $99
River ($325.00) 2 7 T K 9 (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets $299
I mainly try to abuse the positional advantage being this deep and on the river i don't think he has many Acx combos.

AcKo,AQcc and AJcc are the least discounted. He can play them like this almost every time, especially AcKo, we can discount a bit AQcc and AJcc from the flop line (and mb slightly AcKo from preflop) but that would be deviation from the standard 200nl rush play at this stack depth. Luckily this is 5 combos even with no discount. Acxc should be discounted from the preflop call and also there is the occasional QJcc.

That said i think he has a bunch of other stuff and i think if he calls here with something less than Ac would be major spew without specific reads and/or dynamics, as i have every single Ac in my range and regs are not really bluff happy at 200nl rush.

We need this to work 48% of the time and i think it does.

Feel free to comment guys

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