200 nl facing river overbet

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

200 nl facing river overbet

BN: $202
SB: $284.95
BB: $324.35 (Hero)
CO: $227.46
SB is agressive reg, capable of making risky moves. His squezze from sb around 9%.. No notes about his overbetting
Co is passive calling station
Preflop ($5.00) (4 Players)
Hero was dealt 9 T
CO raises to $5, BN calls $7, SB calls $6, Hero calls $5
Flop ($28.00) Q Q 4 (4 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $14, BN folds, SB calls $14, Hero calls $14
Turn ($70.00) K (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks
River ($70.00) J (3 Players)
SB bets $115

9 Comments

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djnef01 11 years, 11 months ago
This is an easy fold. SB is never going to be showing a profit making this bet with anything besides boats and maybe the nut flush. If he's an aggro reg he understands how likely it is that someone has a flush here and definitely is not making this move to fold out a flush. He wants value from one. I think his range is comprised of KQ,QJ, JJ, and Axhh. The fact that he didn't 3bet here doesn't really mean much as he's probably not going to 3bet his QJs/QJo/KQo combos and probably not a lot of his KQs ones oop either.
Serdec 11 years, 11 months ago
Hi, I'm fine folding here, too many hands that are beaten us, and it's a bad card (KQ, KJ, QJ, AT, FD) to bluff, and if he want to thin valuebet with no-nuts hand he would bet something "sweet"

Summary:
- Not good card to bluff, he will get a lot of calls
- 3way pot, he will have a lower bluff frequency
- If he is thin valubetting, Why would he bet so high?

What do you think?
From02Hero - 11 years, 11 months ago
you should alrdy have folded on the flop since u have low equity and massive reverse implieds.
def. fold river
vovochka 11 years, 11 months ago
ok thanks guys. I was actually on SB and turned my 77 into a bluff by making this overbet. Unfortunately BB shipped over my bet.
If everyone thinks that's an easy fold so my bluff vs their range was good )
nma 11 years, 11 months ago
I think your bet is pretty bad. Why would you need to bet $100 into $70? If you had a boat here would you do that? If anything you should check / raise or put in a value bet. I really don't like your play. It's super unbalanced, unless you play your boats/flushes this way (and you shouldn't). That's besides turning pocket 7s into a bluff vs 2 players to act (That in it self is kind of suicide)
vovochka 11 years, 11 months ago
i dont think i should be very balanced here. Ofc sometimes i do overbets with nuts where guys really want to call me and almost never bet themselves. But in this spot i think it either a check fold or i try to represent very strong hand which i can easily have by previous action.
nma 11 years, 11 months ago
I think over-betting is pretty bad here with any part of your range. A v-bet should get folds from Q with weak kickers and flushes are going to look you up sometimes anyways. If you have the nuts here, why would you ever over-bet? If anything you should be c/raising as a bluff or for value because when checked to, the flush hands are going to bet very often (unless they are super passive fish). C/R would be a much better line, and when they check back w.e you lose. Also in this spot, I think your bet is pretty bad with 77 "CO is a passive calling station" .. so what are you expecting this calling station to fold once he bets the flop? He either has Qx or a FD, and if he is going to be folding it only when you c/raise all in (and I still wouldn't do it knowing he's a calling station). I'd give this up and I really think this is a bad play. You're going to get way better spots vs. a calling station later on in the game.. Just my opinion though.

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