2 pairs vs river raise NL25z
Posted by piownu
Posted by
piownu
posted in
Low Stakes
2 pairs vs river raise NL25z
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $25.00 (Hero)
SB: $15.98
BB: $27.56
UTG: $23.25
MP: $28.04
CO: $21.47
SB: $15.98
BB: $27.56
UTG: $23.25
MP: $28.04
CO: $21.47
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
5
4
, , ,
Opening this hand becouse there was Fish on SB and BB not 3 betting so far but no idea if hes even reg
Flop
($1.30)
4
J
5
, ,
Turn
($2.56)
4
J
5
2
, ,
River
($6.36)
4
J
5
2
T
, , ,
Loading 2 Comments...
1) Do we beat value?
2) Does population overbluff a XC-XC-XR line on this runout?
3) Do we have a reason to believe that this particular opponent is deviating from what an average alias would do in this situation?
If the answer is no to all questions then we have a clear fold. The first two questions are the most reliable ones while the third question is most affected by our biases, so I'd be somewhat careful with the third one, but I wouldn't completely ignore it either.
Okay, let's look at our range. Because we valuebetting KJ(orAJ+) there, 2 pairs is quite high up in our range. However this 2 pairs is not particularly great, it is one of the worse ones and I can't see that many reasons to be calling it against a shove. Even by default(without information)it suppose to be marginal bluffcatch, so I need some reads (opp spew potential) to start calling it.
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