2 pairs vs over bet on the river
Posted by Vetinari
Posted by
Vetinari
posted in
Low Stakes
2 pairs vs over bet on the river
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: FR.Schubert: $10.00
SB: bomharu: $10.27
BB: Miseky: $12.72
UTG: RiversideG: $11.10
MP: iluvatark0: $14.69 (Hero)
CO: OOOOPAAAAA: $21.64
SB: bomharu: $10.27
BB: Miseky: $12.72
UTG: RiversideG: $11.10
MP: iluvatark0: $14.69 (Hero)
CO: OOOOPAAAAA: $21.64
Preflop
($0.15)
iluvatark0 is MP with
A
8
, , , , ,
Flop
($1.25)
4
K
7
, , , ,
Turn
($2.45)
4
K
7
8
,
River
($4.85)
4
K
7
8
A
, ,
Hello, op is regfish 28\22 fold flop cbet 42, fold turn cbet 0, agf on river 46. 324 hands
Pre was targeting fat fish on bb,
On the flop size mb too small but i wanted to get my price for my draw, or better to go for xc here? or bigger sizing?
On the turn idk, what is you play here, we have a lot of equity agains his range, but his fold is 0 but small sample though?
River was going to xcall to get value from bluffs due to his 0 fold on cbet on the turn and high agr factor on the river, but over bet made me sad, your thoughts?
thank you a lot in advance
Loading 4 Comments...
I would x/c flop, but I don't think the bet is bad, turn is an easy x/c I think
as played I would call that bet
I don't think he represents anything except for maybe 56 that decide to slowplay the turn, sets should raise before river and you beat all the two-pairs in his range assuming he never flats with AK pre
I would bluffcatch here
As played I'd x/f river. I don't think villain has enough bluffs for taking this overbet line. We block flush draws and therefore big part of his river bluff range. I'd call with sets and maybe AK as bluffcatcher if I'd ever get to the river this way. A8 is probably close but I just don't like to pay off the 10nl droolers when they rep the nuts they usually have it.
Fwiw, I would check-call flop, check-call turn, check-fold river with this hand on this run-out in a multiway flop situation.
I'd bet bigger otf
turn is xc (I think), but betting is certainly fine
I'd b/f river again, villain is likely to look us up with Kx anyway. Once I check, Im check folding. He just doesnt have enough stuff to turn into a bluff imo, I dont expect people to start turning SDV hands into a bluff just so they bluff enough and I dont think he vbets worse nearly often enough, and all that applies before we consider his ridiculous sizing.
Esp since "FD missed=>xc mode" is so usual thought process amongst weak regs, I'd guess that he expects you to go into a xc mode a lot. The tricky thing is, there simply is not that many FD combos to bluff with...(esp given positions), even if he were to bluff with them, even if he always chose this sizing (and neither of those thoughts are likely to be correct)
His sizing makes me pause for a moment, shrug and click fold anyway.
how is does 28/22 = regfish??
Definitely size up on flop and personally Id just barrel turn and shove good rivers at a high frequency after he calls turn. If he raises turn its annoying cos he certainly has us beat.
When you plan to check call river you will have to be pretty certain this assumed 'reg fish' is capable of turning a hand into a bluff (you block most of his flush draws that would bluff).
An easy value bet on river IMO. he has way more worse 2 pairs and stubborn Kx than value hands that beat you.
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