16z, SQZ pot, NFD got raised OTF, having 1/2 pot behind
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by MatoStar posted in Low Stakes
16z, SQZ pot, NFD got raised OTF, having 1/2 pot behind
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: $20.58 (Hero)
SB: $8.64
BB: $16.00
UTG: $26.70
MP: $24.67
CO: $18.92
SB: $8.64
BB: $16.00
UTG: $26.70
MP: $24.67
CO: $18.92
18/9 over 12 hands
Preflop
($0.24)
Hero is BN with
A
K
, , , , , , ,
his range is usually pretty pocket heavy and some strong suited broadways.. (note, he tanked call the second one).
Flop
($6.04)
5
T
8
, , ,
pretty strange line by him.. since I expect to be pretty set heavy.. maybe JJ-QQ? We cant fold right away and whats also meeh, is that OTT, we will have a little less than 1/2 behind.. so folding on any turn card seems kinda sick to me.
If we expect also some JJ-QQ, we can probably even jam?! and potentially fold out those overpairs.. and stack off QcJc. Because if we arent folding anyway, the benefit of jamming is that we might have some fold equity on Tx or JJ-QQ, maybe even 99.
Maybe call and fold turn unimproved.. but still if is ever playing QcJc,ATs,JJ or QQ this way, we are better off calling..
However, after I put this hand into equilab and assigned him 88 and TT for sets, then on a brick turn, he has to have QQ and JJ for 27,27% equity (we will need appr. 25, but incl. rake, this might be number for a +ev call). So it kinda opened my eyes to probably the best play here. With this assumption we should fold even on a K/A turn cards.. what I sort of like, since we are super strong and I doubt that someone is gonna bluff such a range we represent (even OTF)
If we expect also some JJ-QQ, we can probably even jam?! and potentially fold out those overpairs.. and stack off QcJc. Because if we arent folding anyway, the benefit of jamming is that we might have some fold equity on Tx or JJ-QQ, maybe even 99.
Maybe call and fold turn unimproved.. but still if is ever playing QcJc,ATs,JJ or QQ this way, we are better off calling..
However, after I put this hand into equilab and assigned him 88 and TT for sets, then on a brick turn, he has to have QQ and JJ for 27,27% equity (we will need appr. 25, but incl. rake, this might be number for a +ev call). So it kinda opened my eyes to probably the best play here. With this assumption we should fold even on a K/A turn cards.. what I sort of like, since we are super strong and I doubt that someone is gonna bluff such a range we represent (even OTF)
Was grinding some zoom on lower stakes just to test my hud.. no, I am definitely not moving down stakes nor transitioning to zoom :P
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