16z - Bet turn to protect our equity or X back?
Posted by Mancuso
Posted by
Mancuso
posted in
Low Stakes
16z - Bet turn to protect our equity or X back?
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: $22.86
SB: $18.92
BB: $31.45
UTG: $17.12
MP: $52.11
CO: $18.92 (Hero)
SB: $18.92
BB: $31.45
UTG: $17.12
MP: $52.11
CO: $18.92 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.24)
Hero is CO with
T
Q
, , , , , ,
Flop
($4.40)
3
9
8
, ,
Turn
($8.88)
3
9
8
T
, ,
River
($14.32)
3
9
8
T
8
,
Vs unknown player
Loading 7 Comments...
xback what are you doing when you get raised ?
The population tends to be very honest if they XR on this turn.
Can't see any worse/bluffing combo XShoving this.
Yes i agree. So we can Bet/Fold.
However is it worth betting to deny equity to say AK that has 15% vs us ?
And there are many hands that have worse than that.
When we do get x/r we are folding about 20% equity vs say AA.
And we could be folding the best hand when he has AJdd for example.
Nice argue.
Then if we X back this turn and the river blanks.
If he checks again we bet 1/3? X back again?
If he bets less than 1/2 on a blank river, we call?
Don't think general population in micro's 3-bets BB enough to make QT even close to a call. Flop float is similarly def not +EV against unaggressive micro villains. Would like a check back on turn and instead bet some bluffs that can use the fold equity more (since there are a lot of good rivers to continue bluffing i.e. diamonds, most straighty low cards.)
EDIT: Also, villain's range OTT is basically check-give-ups and hands that have you crushed.
Looks good.
If population did indeed x/r a lot here or actually had a decent xing range there'd be an argument to check behind, but I think getting some value and protecting your equity is good.
Could be a good argument to leave burden of defense on the last person to act preflop, although calling QTs with position against BB3B and getting a ok price with dead money in there cant be that big of mistake...
As played looks fine, could argue for turn check back
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