16NLz - Facing 3 barrel vs missed CB
Posted by Mancuso
Posted by Mancuso posted in Low Stakes
16NLz - Facing 3 barrel vs missed CB
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: $15.84
SB: $16.00 (Hero)
BB: $29.26
UTG: $16.28
MP: $14.66
CO: $28.56
SB: $16.00 (Hero)
BB: $29.26
UTG: $16.28
MP: $14.66
CO: $28.56
Preflop
($0.24)
Hero is SB with
A
J
, ,
Flop
($0.96)
8
6
T
, ,
Turn
($1.92)
8
6
T
A
, ,
River
($4.80)
8
6
T
A
5
, ,
Vs Unknown player, probably a reg 'cos he was multi-tabling.
Did we miss a 1/3 CB opportunity OTF?
As played are we calling this river?
I ran this spot in gto plus solver and AJo would be a 3 barrel shoving the river. The problem was that the solver was incuding some calls on the river that the population might fold a lot, such as all top pairs and some second pairs. I think the population tends to fold a lot on the river vs a 3 barrel in these spots, then I node locked some combos to fold and then the AJo went from shoving the river to XCalling it about 50% freq.
At the same time I assume the population tends to fold a lot on the river, I think the field is not being aggro enough on the river as well, that's why I make the fold.
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