16nl set v shove turn
Posted by maco
Posted by
maco
posted in
Low Stakes
16nl set v shove turn
https://www.weaktight.com/h/5f563ae4d3904341368b474a Villain is playing 24/21, cbet 50, fold to x/r 50, raise cbet turn 11 (6k hands). SB is a big fish 96/77 so I expect villain to cbet bigger with his value hands on a wet flop like that. OTT when he shoves I see a lot of J9hh, AJhh. I dont think he does that with KQ, maybe KQhh. What are your thoughts about this spot?
Loading 4 Comments...
Let's assume he has J9hh, AJhh. Why would he want to fastplay this in position? If you have value he's getting money on the river a high % off the time. If you're bluffing he wants you to bluff on the river as well.
I would call this. We have to win ~30% off the time. Seems very viable, especially since we are live against AJ and J9.
How do you think his range looks like OTT?
To be honest this isn't a common line. So I have no real idea for his range. In general it isn't a bluffing line he'd take. But he can overplay a hand here for sure. I'd think he has non heart made hands more often than heart made hands. So I would exclude J9hh and AJhh more often than not.
I figure people would raise KQ more often compared to AJhh.
In the end thinking about these very uncommon spots won't help you improve that much. We have one off the best hands we'll have here, just call.
Your range is 22, KT, Jh9h, and flush draw with no sdv. I guess you could have TT if you don't squeeze TT preflop. You can find a fold with KT, but not 22. It's too strong in your range. Villain's range could include KQ and hearts.
Be the first to add a comment