10NLz good spot to bluff shove river?

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10NLz good spot to bluff shove river?

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $11.85
SB: $37.95
BB: $19.52 (Hero)
UTG: $8.84
MP: $29.36
CO: $16.75
HJ is 23/8 over 13 hands, SB is 43/33 over 21 hands.
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BB with 4 J
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.25, 2 folds, SB calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1.05, MP calls $0.80, SB calls $0.80
So I decide to 3bet J4s because the SB calling made it more profitable in my opinion and J4s is a hand I would rank as *just* too bad to call a 2.5x here. In hindsight, I might prefer to just fold it and use hands like J6s as my suited Jack bluffs.
Flop ($3.15) K 5 2
SB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00, MP calls $1.00
So he donks into us real small. I don't want to raise since I would probably have to fold to a 3bet.
Turn ($6.15) K 5 2 9
SB bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25, MP folds
Same story as on the flop
River ($10.65) K 5 2 9 6
SB bets $3.33, Hero raises to $15.22 and is all in, SB

So nothing really got there. His small betsizing throughout the hand makes AK and even KQ quite unlikely to me and he looks more like a TT-JJ or even 77-88 type of hand to me. Raising small river bets as a bluff (<= 1/3 pot) is something I found is pretty profitable in 10nlz since they seem to be weighted towards slim value and not very balanced at all. I chose J4s as a bluff since it is one of the worst hands that ever get to this spot. Also, even though I'm blocking flush draws, it is only with the Jd and 4d so I am not blocking too many combos here.

Lastly, I wasn't sure about sizing but figured just shoving would seem the strongest and would be what I'd do with my value hands (I think I would play AA and AK this way I think, not sure about other combos)

I would be interested in your advice, also I'm sorry if I did something wrong as this is my first hand history post.

2 Comments

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hihello 8 years, 2 months ago

I personally think J4S is much too light of a 3-bet bluff unless you know your opponents are loose passives who you have seen fold to 3-bets at a high frequency. Looking at the small blinds stats it looks like he's a bit of a station but it's not that many hands. If he were a station though I wouldn't recommend bluffing him in the first place.

What are you even repping on the river? 66? 99? 34? 78? KK? AA?

66 would have folded the flop and definitely the turn.. 78 would have likely folded the flop with only it's backdoors. 34 is unlikely 3-bet in the first place. 99 would of most likely raised the turn to get more money into the pot and protect the hand against people drawing. KK would have raised the flop or turn for the same reason as 99.

I just don't see how someone could really fold here if they had any decent equity. I don't think any king is folding here.

Bradley Chalupski 8 years, 2 months ago

+1 to hihello

Would also add that SB is betting three streets here. We hold diamond blockers to both his broadway suited combos and small suited connector combos, which are the most likely combos (if not the only ones) to take this hyper aggro line as a bluff.

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