10NLz - Facing Donk River Jam in a 3bet pot
Posted by Fazz
Posted by
Fazz
posted in
Low Stakes
10NLz - Facing Donk River Jam in a 3bet pot
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $18.74
SB: $10.25
BB: $10.00 (Hero)
UTG: $7.41
MP: $20.22
CO: $10.00
SB: $10.25
BB: $10.00 (Hero)
UTG: $7.41
MP: $20.22
CO: $10.00
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BB with
Q
A
, , ,
pre flop seems standard here, AQs can easily slot into the value section of a polarised model, just as a sub question thoughts on using polarised 3bet model as a default in this situation?
Flop
($1.70)
7
8
A
, ,
Flop, easy bet with our exact hand but I'm unsure of sizing here, I'm torn between 1/3 pot with entire range, or a more polarised 50% sizing since we have quite a few weak 1 pair hands in this model such as 99-KK and some hands like 73s, 85s etc.
Turn
($3.32)
7
8
A
K
, ,
Turn, seems like an easy value bet since this is pretty much the second best hand we ca have in this spot and V can definitely call with worse.
River
($7.22)
7
8
A
K
K
,
My initial reaction to this shove is that it's extremely nutted however, I don't really have any kings here apart from AK which lead me to a call.
Loading 6 Comments...
Pre id go a little bigger (3x). No big deal though. Flop: both strategies seem reasonable. The connecting middling cards favor oop. The rainbow texture and A favoulr ip (depending on 3b amd call ranges of both players). Think a solver will give ip a high bet frequency. Will try to put this in GTO tomorrow..
Turn sizing could go a little bigger to make river shove a little bit more comfortable..
River is gross. It's hard to find kings in both players ranges. I agree with you that this looks nutted, but given the fact its a little bit of a fishy line by villain and we have close to the top of our range I probably end up calling too.
bad thing here though is you block some club bluffs.....Strangely you have good enough equity 50% equity if I put villain on this river range 77,AdAs,AKs,KQs,QTs+,Th9h
I would also call and not be super happy about it. I'd rather have AhQh here to unblock flop BDFDs, but hard for you to have too many better hands here going w/ 50% c-bet sizing. AK, 77, 88 which amounts to 12 combos. All 78s combos have been counterfeited here.
W/o knowing villain stats 56s, 9Ts, JT w/ BDFD, 89cc and a ton of other worse hands where villain could just be spazzing. Hard for villain to have many Kx here. KThh - KQhh are about it though expect most of these hands to fold to 1/2 pot c-bet. I guess K8s and K7s could be in there but have to assume villain would at least x/r these hands on turn some portion of the time so that lessens the absolute combos of these FH he gets to the river. Same w/ 77 and 88.
Overall while it sucks to block clubs seems to high in range to fold and villain has high potential for being unbalanced here.
Thanks for the responses, V had ATo for anyone that is curious
Pretty close but really have to call. He can have A7s, A8s, a few weaker aces like A10s, AJs and the splits. I think you have to call here sometimes with a non nutty type hand and this is the best one to do it with I would think.
I grinded from NL2 to NL50z on ps so I know the pools very well. I would not call the river in NL10z. People here are fishy and play face up. Don't give them credit for thinking about your range and that you have little K in your range. They play their hand like it is and not think in ranges. For that reason I would make an exploitable fold here.
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