10NLz - Exploitative river fold, thoughts?
Posted by Fazz
Posted by
Fazz
posted in
Low Stakes
10NLz - Exploitative river fold, thoughts?
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $10.00
SB: $7.15
BB: $16.16
UTG: $10.37
MP: $12.92 (Hero)
CO: $5.44
SB: $7.15
BB: $16.16
UTG: $10.37
MP: $12.92 (Hero)
CO: $5.44
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is MP with
6
6
, , ,
Flop
($0.59)
K
6
7
, ,
Turn
($1.47)
K
6
7
Q
, ,
River
($3.65)
K
6
7
Q
K
, , ,
Final Pot
BB wins $8.07
Rake is $0.38
Rake is $0.38
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If villian is capable of raising trips or maybe some butsted draw you have to call here.
i do think i would call here id like to hear others opinions but we lose to 77 K6 K7 QQ and KQ with you raising MP i think K6 K7 and not likely QQ mostly 3B pre, but as idontraise mentioned if he may raise a busted draw or K we have to call
Hi Fazz
I would need a very strong read on my opponent to fold a hand as strong as 66 here. Keep in mind when he raises so small you don't need to see many bluffs to make your call profitable - we are getting a great price. Moreover when he uses such a small size he could be doing this with a hand like KJ, or some AK he decided to flat preflop.
Additionally, unblocking all the Kx our hand makes a great overbet for both turn (denying equity on a very dynamic board is great), as well as river, seeing how our opponents calling range should be pretty inelastic with the K pairing.
These kind of exploitative folds are going to require some really solid reads based on a ton of hands with your opponent and given that you didn't post anything about your opponent's tendencies I'm going to guess that you haven't played that much with him.
Don't fold here.
As everyone said. The sizing is good for us. Unless we have solids and very specifics reads.
To be an exploitative folds you would need to be sure that the range of your opponent is so strong and narrow that he can't find enough bluffs to balance his raising range on the river. Given pre-flop action, the board/runout and his line overall it doesn't seems like it is the case here.
I dont think its what this hand is about, really.
Them having available bluffs is one, but then they have to pull the trigger, and i dont think its happening with any real frequency, for this sizing, in this spot. Mostly because MP is so strong here. I dont have any data to confirm this, but empirically it looks like one of the most underbluffed spots in NLH.
So, only reason i would call here is if i would think that my opponent is able to raise Kx. If i would play against confirmed solid opponent, i would just fold and i would think very little about it.
So i guess, at NL10 would still lean towards calling.
Sizing don't matter in exploitative folds spot, only villain's range. When Villain's range is so strong that he can't balance properly with bluffs, the only response to his aggression is simply folding all our range to any size when we are bluff catching. Like i said, given previous action, this is not the case, Hero don't have a capped range, he has some nuts hands in his range that will allow him to call or raise this river and more importantly he is not bluff catching.
Just impossible for the sizing really
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