10nl speaking off weird lines again

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

10nl speaking off weird lines again

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $18.43
SB: $10.15
BB: $5.15
UTG: $10.06 (Hero)
MP: $11.73
CO: $11.45
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K A
Hero raises to $0.30, MP folds, CO calls $0.30, BN folds, SB raises to $0.90, BB folds, Hero calls $0.60, CO folds
Flop ($2.20) 6 A 5
SB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00
Turn ($4.20) 6 A 5 9
SB bets $0.10, Hero raises to $1.95, SB raises to $8.25 and is all in, Hero calls $6.21 and is all in

i guess i should just fold..havent run the math on it

5 Comments

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Knoxox 10 years, 4 months ago

Very weird because he can only really have AA and AdKd and maybe 78s for value. I don't see him doing this with worse. You block AA & AK but you block 1 FD.

There are so little combos that beat you that if he has 2-3 combos of air you should already call. Do you have any reads? Without reads I don't think I fold this.

I would raise bigger OTT though.

JoINrbs 10 years, 4 months ago

From the weird betsizes I'd guess he can have stuff like AdJd here and wouldn't fold. I think our turn raise should be more like 2.60 to get stacks in geometrically OTR assuming he calls.

Tyler Forrester 10 years, 4 months ago

I don't know why you should fold. Even if he was nitty mcnitterson and only 3-bet AK, KK, AA and then only jammed Ak and AA over your small bet. You'd have enough equity to call.

Board: Ah9h6d5d

Range 1: AA,AKs,AKo
Range 2: AKo

Equity 1: 57.792% Win 1: 15.584% Tie 1: 84.416%
Equity 2: 42.208% Win 2: 0.000% Tie 2: 84.416%

Bonus equity calc. Your hand against AA, AKs

Board: Ah9h6d5d

Range 1: AA,AKs
Range 2: AKo

Equity 1: 73.377% Win 1: 46.753% Tie 1: 53.247%
Equity 2: 26.623% Win 2: 0.000% Tie 2: 53.247%

You don't lose any money calling the jam. Even in the second scenario (which is super ridiculous given likely skill level; look at the sizings), you only lose a dollar.

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