10NL - 99 calling 3b ip

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

10NL - 99 calling 3b ip

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (4 Players) SB: $10.00
BB: $10.00
CO: $10.15
BN: $10.10 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with 9 9
CO folds, Hero raises to $0.26, SB raises to $0.90, BB folds, Hero calls $0.64
Flop ($1.90) J 5 5
SB bets $0.99, Hero calls $0.99
Turn ($3.88) J 5 5 3
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50
River ($6.88) J 5 5 3 4
SB checks, Hero checks

20k hands from V 27/21 2,3AF
His 3b range from SBvBU is 12%
64% fold to 4b
71% of his 5b range is premium (QQ+, AK)
From these infos, is 4b/call a profit situation?

Postflop:
45% flop cb in 3bpot
45% turn cb in 3bpot
44% x/f turn
I don't find any reasons to fold otf.
Turn I bet 1/3 with my entire range mostly, to keep his weak hands and to prevent a bigger bet from him otr if I x back ott. (Here I wanna go to the showdown).
River I just X back with my medium showdown hands, and shove polarized with a good blocker.

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