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100NL Zoom overpair facing flop XR

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100NL Zoom overpair facing flop XR

TT otb 100BBs deep.

UTG limps i raise 3xBB, BB calls and UTG calls 3 way to the flop

Flop comes 972ss - chk to me i cbet. BB folds and UTG xr 3x my bet i call.

Turn is Jo, i chk, villain bets 3/4 pot. Hero?

9 Comments

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iMRUSh 9 years, 7 months ago

Have to fold on the turn, your hand is not great, somewhat bottom of your range. Villain can have all the sets, some AA maybe KK too occasionally, maybe T8s, 97s. The only good thing in your hand is to block the nut straight, and JT. Maybe he doesn't bet JT with that size, T8s is also somewhat rare. Without reads, I think U have to fold especially OOP, when he has a decent fold equity on river too.

TheArchivist 9 years, 7 months ago

folding AA on this flop seems really exploitable but i guess people don't XR draws much anymore?

Limp Limpson 9 years, 7 months ago

even if they do, T8s is the only obvious draw. Now, if he has that, he also has 97s. Plus passive players (guys who l/c) just dont play nonmade hands that aggressivelly.

Plus, you know, even disregarding all that, those draws have a lot of equity, whereas we're running significantly behind villain's valuerange.

MonK_Key 9 years, 7 months ago

Hi
when i put this range (7x9x,22,77,99,As2s,As3s,As4s,As5s,6s8s,4s5s) vs AA on the flop u have 25% equity and if no draws come out river u have 43% equity. if u add more weak hands like TT-KK then u are way ahead. It means with TT-JJ u will often be underdog.

What is funny here is the fact that he can't really represent TT+ here which is bad for AA on this board coz his raisin range has no more made hands that u can beat

Thanks for posting, it helps me as well.

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