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100NL Zoom: Overbet on a draw heavy board

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

100NL Zoom: Overbet on a draw heavy board

BN: $146.26 (Hero)
SB: $91.50
BB: $111.53
UTG: $77.75
HJ: $175.90
CO: $147.89
35/30 w/ 19% 3b
opening 31% from MP
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T T
UTG folds, HJ raises to $2.50, CO folds, Hero calls $2.50, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($6.50) 9 7 4 (2 Players)
HJ bets $5.34, Hero calls $5.34
Turn ($17.18) 9 7 4 K (2 Players)
HJ bets $14.87, Hero calls $14.87
I think his range is wide enough for TT to be a call here. Given his wide opening range he can be barreling w/ T8s and QJo.
River ($46.92) 9 7 4 K 5 (2 Players)
HJ bets $61.87, Hero folds

He is pretty aggressive and probably bluffing this river quite a bit. But he should have a decent amount of flushes here. Also he can have 4 sets and some Kx.

I think I should fold this river and call on the 5d (assuming he will be barreling too much w/ missed fd's).

Would you call this? How do you interpret the overbet?


6 Comments

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Marrek 11 years, 5 months ago

some post-flop stats/read would be good have to here.  As a default i'd fold to the river overbet, but its all guess since there's no reads.  

You think he's barreling with QJo?   Why?  is he cbetting 80% or 30%?


CrackSmokinTeddy 11 years, 5 months ago

"He is pretty aggressive and probably bluffing this river quite a bit"

thats not enough ;) he has to bluff the River very very often to make a call + EV

2nd, i do not see much busted hands in his hijack-range that cbet barrel and overbet the river


Teddy

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