100NL - thin river value bet OOP in 3 bet pot
Posted by Mushmellow
Posted by Mushmellow posted in Low Stakes
100NL - thin river value bet OOP in 3 bet pot
SB: blunted123: $159.78
BB: Mushmellow: $102.90
BB: Mushmellow: $102.90
Preflop
($1.50)
(2 Players)
Mushmellow was dealt
J
A
blunted123 raises to $1.50, Mushmellow raises to $7, blunted123 calls $6
blunted123 raises to $1.50, Mushmellow raises to $7, blunted123 calls $6
Bump it up to $8 vs his min raise for value.
Villain is opening 75% of his buttons, and has never folded to all 9 of my 3bets. Therefore, his range in position in 3bet pots is pretty much his opening range, but probably a little less because I doubt he is defending EVERY 3bet in reality.
OOP he is playing a 31% fold vs button open, 48% call, and 21% 3bet. Pretty aggressive stats as I was only playing a 69% button raise at the time and defending OOP 65/22/13 (fold/call/3bet) <--- why am I such a knit?
Villain is opening 75% of his buttons, and has never folded to all 9 of my 3bets. Therefore, his range in position in 3bet pots is pretty much his opening range, but probably a little less because I doubt he is defending EVERY 3bet in reality.
OOP he is playing a 31% fold vs button open, 48% call, and 21% 3bet. Pretty aggressive stats as I was only playing a 69% button raise at the time and defending OOP 65/22/13 (fold/call/3bet) <--- why am I such a knit?
Flop
($16.00)
5
9
J
(2 Players)
Mushmellow bets $10.33,
blunted123 calls $10.33
I bet here for value and protection.
Turn
($36.66)
5
9
J
K
(2 Players)
Mushmellow checks,
blunted123 checks
Question: Should I be barreling turn here?
I need help thinking about this spot for my whole range of hands. For my entire 3bet range my value hands in this spot will be a mixture of KK, JJ, KJ, J9s, (if I am 3betting villain light dynamic), and QTs (if I'm betting him light), AK, KQ, K10s, and AA.
I'll also have club draws, club draws with a gutter for my semibluffs. For this range, I think I have enough value hands to balance out my bluffs so I think I should check back 2nd pair on this turn card.
Is this thought process mildly correct?
I need help thinking about this spot for my whole range of hands. For my entire 3bet range my value hands in this spot will be a mixture of KK, JJ, KJ, J9s, (if I am 3betting villain light dynamic), and QTs (if I'm betting him light), AK, KQ, K10s, and AA.
I'll also have club draws, club draws with a gutter for my semibluffs. For this range, I think I have enough value hands to balance out my bluffs so I think I should check back 2nd pair on this turn card.
Is this thought process mildly correct?
River
($36.66)
5
9
J
K
5
(2 Players)
Mushmellow bets $24.10
When villain checks back turn, I feel like he's trying to keep the pot small/get to showdown. With the crazy dynamic that we had in the match, I felt like he would play all his stronger hands (hands that beat mine including Kx faster on the turn to set up stacks for a river shove). Because of this I felt like I should be value betting this river (don't want him checking back the hands he wants to get to showdown for free). Villain could decide to look me up with A9 type hands, weaker Jx hands and potentially A high though this might be too optimistic.
Thanks!
Thanks!
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