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[100NL, sh]Drawy board, river decision.

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

[100NL, sh]Drawy board, river decision.

BB: 223.04
UTG: 100
HJ: 71.21
CO: 100 (Hero)
BN: 100
SB: 119
Preflop (1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A A
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to 3, BN calls 3, SB folds, BB folds
Flop (7.50) 7 T 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets 4, BN calls 4
Turn (15.50) 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets 8, BN calls 8
River (31.50) 4 (2 Players)
Hero bets 19, BN raises to 44
Well, villain is a 24/19, 4,5% 3B; 2.5AF reg. Only 200 hands, but don't look tricky.
What do you think is his range ? I need to win 20% of time, the play is looking a bit strange, no turn raise, it looks like a perfect spot to do it (am I wrong?), but maybe he just almost always get that J9...

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