100nl sb vs bb river decision
Posted by Andrei
Posted by Andrei posted in Low Stakes
100nl sb vs bb river decision
UTG: $113.65
HJ: $106.80
CO: $118.20
BN: $260.30
SB: $135.40 (Hero)
BB: $106
HJ: $106.80
CO: $118.20
BN: $260.30
SB: $135.40 (Hero)
BB: $106
Bb is a reg 23 18 , 3bet vs sb 18% , call open bb 16% , sb fold vs bb steal 47% , bet vs missed cbet ip 82% ,Wtsd% 28 on 15k hands .I play almost every day with him ,probably my image is agressive .I'm c/r as pfr 7% and i open 33% from sb .
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2
Flop
($6.50)
6
Q
4
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BB bets $3,
Hero raises to $9,
BB calls $6
I know he is not calling with PP because i've seen him 3bet with those ,so his range for bet call should be one pair+ ,fd+(probably with nut fd will stackoff) .
Turn
($24.50)
6
Q
4
9
(2 Players)
Hero bets $20,
BB calls $20
River
($64.50)
6
Q
4
9
7
(2 Players)
Hero bets $103.40, and is all in
I have 74$ and the pot is 64 .I don't like betting something like 25 or 30$ because looks weak and a good reg might exploit me (probably not at 100nl ,but who knows ) and i think i will miss some value .Not to mention that a shove looks more bluffy than a half pot bet .
It is resonable to think that he might call with almost any Q and thus my shove is +ev ?
It is resonable to think that he might call with almost any Q and thus my shove is +ev ?
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