100nl river bluff - need CRev analysis
Posted by MusicalShangriLa
Posted by
MusicalShangriLa
posted in
Low Stakes
100nl river bluff - need CRev analysis
I don't have a license for CRev and don't know how to use it
Anyone interested/willing to help show me through this river spot vs a villain folded to SB steal from hero 75% so far over 1.5k hands?
tnx
WPN, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (SB): $100 (100 bb)
BB: $129.73 (129.7 bb)
UTG: $100 (100 bb)
MP: $43.28 (43.3 bb)
CO: $124.26 (124.3 bb)
BTN: $106.66 (106.7 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Ah 8d
4 folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2
Flop: ($6) 4c 7h 9h (2 players)
Hero bets $3.75, BB calls $3.75
Turn: ($13.50) 4h (2 players)
Hero bets $8.25, BB raises to $24.75, Hero calls $16.50
River: ($63) 4s (2 players)
Hero bets $68.50 and is all-in
Loading 4 Comments...
Hi Shangrila,
I had him call 6-27% of hands, then raise the turn with trips or better (no bluffs). This analysis, assuming flushes fold river (not a guarantee), yielded a 45% call/ 55% fold for the villain.
Once we include villain bluffs into the analysis, this play seems to be clearly profitable.
Is raising trips on turn a good play?
thanks
yeah raising turn with like 43s seems far fetched. Also I think you have to decide between b3b ott or bet/call your entire range/donking river. I can't really see any advantage to b/c donk over b3b, I don't necessarily see disadvantages either but it's def weird.
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