[100nl] Made hand turned into bluff on river
Posted by lolplaid
Posted by lolplaid posted in Low Stakes
[100nl] Made hand turned into bluff on river
SB: $101.06
BB: $164.45 (Hero)
UTG: $141.76
HJ: $27.25
CO: $102.50
BN: $78.30
BB: $164.45 (Hero)
UTG: $141.76
HJ: $27.25
CO: $102.50
BN: $78.30
Not too much info on villain, had only played about 80 hands with each other up to this point, only information on him is that he is reggy and aggresive. I believe villain perceives me as reggy as well.
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
Q
UTG raises to $3, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $2
UTG raises to $3, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $2
Flop
($6.50)
J
Q
8
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG checks
I think that villains flop check back consists of a lot of AJ/KJ/TT/99 type hands, along with some underpairs that are just giving up on this flop that smashes my perceived bb defending range. I'm not sure whether villain will cbet AK/AT/KT and AA/KK on this flop, but and under the impression that he will usually cbet these hands.
Turn
($6.50)
5
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG bets $4.33,
Hero raises to $14.43,
UTG calls $10.10
On the turn, I think my AQ is strong enough to go for a thin value x/r.
River
($35.36)
J
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG bets $26.52,
Hero raises to $147.02
On the river, my plan is to check and to shove as a bluff if villain bets. Villains range is relatively capped (but consists of a lot of Jx hands,) whereas I have all QQ/JJ/QJs/88 combos in my perceived range, along with AsKs, AsTs, and KsTs. He can only have 55 for nutted hands, and has a discounted amount of AsKs/AsTs/KsTs combos (although all these combos are most likely floating the turn check/raise if they did check back the flop.) Having the Qs has some value as well, blocking hands like KsQs that villain may have checked back with.
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