[10 NL Zoom] Villain potential bluff river?

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[10 NL Zoom] Villain potential bluff river?

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.15
SB: $14.04
BB: $12.94
UTG: $26.53
MP: $10.62 (Hero)
CO: $11.11
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is MP with 8 8
UTG raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 4 folds
Flop ($0.75) 6 Q 4
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.36, UTG calls $0.36
Turn ($1.47) 6 Q 4 5
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.70, UTG raises to $2.30, Hero calls $1.60
River ($6.07) 6 Q 4 5 2
UTG bets $23.57 and is all in, Hero folds
Villain use time bank and then shove. I think there are a lot of bluff here but can't call. Do you think it should be a call here?
Final Pot UTG wins $5.80
Rake is $0.27

9 Comments

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weltcheftrainer 6 years, 4 months ago

Looks more like QQ to me. I would prefer to check the turn. Maybe you get him to fold a better pocket but overall I think you do the value betting for him.

heobay 6 years, 4 months ago

I think Villain maybe have set or 2 pairs. But if that the check on the river is more reasonable. The straight is less likely because I have 8 blocker.

João Guimarães 6 years, 4 months ago

You didn´t post stats so I assume he´s an average reg. I don´t see him opening any 33 or 3x utg, 87s is unlikely due to your hand and I cant think of any combo that he would choose to bluff (maybe 77 which is on the bottom of his range if he´s a little bit looser pf), seems more like QQ.
AQ, KK or AA wouldn´t raise turn or shove river. Maybe fold turn? Your hand shouldn´t do very well vs a range that probably include only sets, so I don´t see any value in defending vs his raise.

HawksWin 6 years, 4 months ago

Check turn. Getting raised here is a small disaster that can be avoided. You really only beat bluffs. You have 4 clean outs. He has QQ here in his range, 87s much less so. Honestly, an 8 could get you in trouble here some of the time vs. QQ or 87s or A7s (very unlikely, but I can see an OOP float with BDFD). Seems weird, but its better to barrel with 33 here than it is with 88. You will have 22% equity vs. KQ, TT here with 33 and only 13% with 88.

Robert137 6 years, 4 months ago

I would have played it the same - but after reading the coments I get it that it would be bettter to just check turn.

As played up to the turn.... caling is fine because only a very little part of his overall range has any value on that board.

River is an easy fold.

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