1 Situation 2 Perspectives
Posted by DatpKay
Posted by DatpKay posted in Mid Stakes
1 Situation 2 Perspectives
SB: $4364.50
BB: $1905.68
UTG: $3466.68
MP: $514.39
CO: $545.48
I would like to "analyse" the following hand from two perspectives because as I saw his hand I was wondering wether or not he played the hand good and how I would have played it and maybe how PIO would look at this spot (appreciated I someone could run a sim!? )...
Openraiser is new/unknown
SB is know, active, thinking regular with 13% sqz in the SB so far (samplesize 8 spots)
Preflop I feel everything is kind of ok... I can 3bet the openraiser, call is fine
facing the sqz I don't even feel folding is too much of a mistake...
I thought about 4bet/folding for convenience... But I guess call is standardish!?..
OTF easy call
OTT I am really unsure
Our range on the turn I guess, most of the time is:
AJ, 77, rarely AKo, AQ, ATs, 9T clubs, 89clubs, rarely A9s, QJs, JTs, sometimes 99, KQclubs/(suited), rarely QTsuited
which is probably also somewhat close to his squeezing and cbet-range + more small suited clubs
His shoving range I THINK looks something like:
AA,JJ,AKs,AJs,KcQc,KcTc,QcTc,Tc9c,Th8h,Ts8s,9c8c,6c5c,AKo,AJo
against which we have 19%, which makes this a fold
If this stays his shoving range and our calling range is:
JJ,99,77,AQs-AJs,KcQc,AcTc,Tc9c,AJo
he has 41% Equity
If we widen our calling range to:
JJ,99,77,AQs-AJs,A9s,KcQc,AcTc,QcTc,Tc9c,AQo-AJo
he has 52% making it barely profitable.
Lets say we are a math genius and fold AQ here correctly ingame and I look at my true range here:
-> I 3bet 9Tsuited, I dont usually coldcall QTs on the BU, I dont have A9, I always 3b JJ vs unknown
which leaves me with
99,77,AJs,KcQc,AcTc
he has 36% if called - If I add AQo to my callingrange he hase 56% - so this hand seems to be the deciding factor here.
Now I have 4 questions:
- Is AQ an "easy" fold here? Which non-made hands, therefore draws, can/should be in our calling range?
- What do you think/does PIO say his shoving range can and/or should be?
- Do you think AKspades is a good valueshove from him??
On top of that one can philosophy wether or not he splits his range regarding his cbet size and would start smaller w AA, JJ, AJ...
Very interesting spot imo
Kind regards
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