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Villain is playing 29/19 with a 18%RFI and 20%3B only 29 hands on him and a BB defense of 100%. How many combos of 8x is in his CHK-CALL range on flop?

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Villain is playing 29/19 with a 18%RFI and 20%3B only 29 hands on him and a BB defense of 100%. How many combos of 8x is in his CHK-CALL range on flop?

Blinds: t50,000/t100,000 (7 Players) UTG: 1,820,124 (Hero)
MP: 1,727,705
UTG+1: 1,587,788
CO: 2,636,764
BN: 1,773,728
SB: 1,158,003
BB: 2,902,550
Preflop (150,000) Hero is UTG with 6 A
Hero raises to 220,000, 5 folds, BB calls 120,000
Flop (560,000) 8 8 6
BB checks, Hero bets 235,999, BB calls 235,999
Turn (1,031,998) 8 8 6 J
BB checks, Hero bets 1,354,125 and is all in, BB calls 1,354,125
River (3,740,248) 8 8 6 J A
Final Pot UTG lost and shows two pair, Aces and Eights.
BB wins and shows three of a kind, Eights.
BB wins 3,740,248

10 Comments

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SPrince 10 years, 2 months ago

That's a very loose open from UTG w 18 bigs.
As played, not much worse is calling and nothing better is folding when you shove turn so xb.
I think he probably defends all of the {86, 87,98,T8,J8,Q8,K8,A8s}, maybe slightly wider.

power941 10 years, 2 months ago

i don't like my open either
but when i got to the turn i thought that against his wide BB defense and his chk call range on flop there are some draws i have enough equity i did it in poker stove and against a range that wide a have 60% vs his 40%. i thought i should end the hand here and if i chk back if he shoves river do i fold and leave myself with 13BB or call??? and i think a chk back on the turn makes my range verry weak and he could be more likely to shove river on many cards .

SPrince 10 years, 2 months ago

He's more likely to take the money and jam most of his "made hands" continuing range + flush draws/oe's/gs's with a h otf maximizing his fold equity when you only have close to a psb left behind.So his calling range is very strong, like 66, 8x almost exclusively.
And yes you should fold river if he jams on a brick because he's not gonna turn 22-55, or a weaker 6x into a bluff when he has sdv, or float worse otf with such shallow stacks to begin with.

Btw, mods can you move this to MTT forum.

Rapha Nogueira 10 years, 2 months ago

If he is defending:

he has trips around 11% of the time on this flop. He is probably not raising it very often given card removal effects. Turn shove is pretty optimistic.

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