Value bet turn? Check back?
Posted by Tdogger88
Posted by Tdogger88 posted in Low Stakes
Value bet turn? Check back?
Live tournament, myself and Villain are battling for table chip lead, each with a very large stack.
200/400, 7 handed, early on (nowhere near money yet), about 44k effective. Playing at a very loose/passive table, LOTS of limp calling 7bb raises and so on. Villain slightly less so, he can find folds but likes to see flops.
Villain limps UTG, fold, I raise to 2200 with AKhh, folds around to villain who calls.
Flop: A84 all diamonds
Pot - 5k
Villain checks, I bet 3200, villain calls
Turn: 4 of spades
Pot - 11.4k
Villain checks.
My thoughts here are he very likely has a pair with a flush draw and sometimes a strong made flush. I feel like he would have raised any weaker flush he could have hit if he would limp call something like T9dd preflop for that much. I do like my preflop sizing, maybe even think it's a little small, as people are so likely to call and there were still 4 people left to act behind and they were the loosest at the table. Unfortunately I didn't get any action from them. Villain could also have a hand like KQ, KJ, 98, T8, 87. He gave a bit of pause before his check on the turn, I'm not much for live tells but it seemed like he was unhappy about the board pairing. If he has a pair and a flush draw he now loses his 2 pair outs and if he has a flush it is very likely I just boated up.
I just think it's very difficult for me to have a full house without pocket aces here. I also don't see myself having many flushes. Maybe KQ, MAYBE KJ but I think I'd rather just limp behind preflop because it's so likely to go multiway anyway that I would much prefer the extra money in there.
Thoughts?
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