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Turning Aces into a Bluff

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Turning Aces into a Bluff

Blinds: t30/t60 (9 Players) MP+1: 4,521 (Hero)
MP+2: 5,458
CO: 4,155
BN: 2,701
SB: 4,484
BB: 3,000
UTG: 1,705
UTG+1: 2,494
MP: 2,571
Preflop (90) Hero is MP+1 with A A
3 folds, Hero raises to 136, 3 folds, SB calls 106, BB folds
Flop (395) T 7 2
SB checks, Hero bets 166, SB calls 166
Turn (727) T 7 2 9
SB bets 313, Hero calls 313
River (1,353) T 7 2 9 3
SB bets 1,080, Hero raises to 3,899 and is all in, SB folds
Final Pot MP+1 wins 3,513

SB is a solid low-stakes reg, 19/14 over 1k hands. Flats 9% of the time on SB and he has 4% 3b on sb on around 100 hands.

I designed some bluff and value ranges for him, considering a reasonable SB flatting range, and then I calculated the value/bluff ratio to see if we could bluff catch profitably. Of course those ranges are really player dependent (his tendencies of check-raising flop, leading turn and a turn hand into a bluff river).

The point is, in game I didn't see many bluff combos as I saw after designing ranges. So I felt he had a value-heavy range with 2p+, then I used our nut flush blocker to try to force him making a big lay down.

What are your thoughts about that?

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