Trying to hold on with weak TP in Sunday Million
Posted by Hoothoot
Posted by
Hoothoot
posted in
Mid Stakes
Trying to hold on with weak TP in Sunday Million
MP+1: 18,996
MP+2: 4,543
CO: 19,840
BN: 40,008
SB: 11,620
BB: 20,512
UTG: 23,230 (Hero)
UTG+1: 23,923
This hand happened in the mega Sunday Million recently. Flop and turn are standard, the tricky part is the river. I would expect villain to 3bet JJ+ for sure, probably TT+, and I block 99 which would be his best flatting overpair. He can't have many 7x combos: only 2 combos of 76s and 2 combos of 87s. I also block 88, and the board pairing leaves only 4 combos of 77 and 55. I don't see him showing up with 64s or 69s. I don't block hearts of course, but his bet sizing is super polarizing, and there are plenty of bricked draws he could have like 9Ts, JTs, and J9s, most of which I don't block. Plus he knows I'm capped, so it would be a perfect board to put max pressure on me. Then again, it's pretty early in the SM, so I don't know how likely a huge bluff is at this stage. Thoughts?
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i replied this in your other similar post
I think you did a good job of summarizing range interaction and I think a call is fine based on the nature of what you block and unblock. Sometimes villain is going to show up with a flush, but it seems like the range vs. range interactions on this runout are just right to pull off a big bluffcatch. PLUS, you still have 14bb to battle with if you lose :)
hi ! Not sure if i will open a lot 89s from utg, might be too thin, but fine in soft tables, makes sense what was said , the thing is, i dont know if theres a lot of bluffing going that early and bluffcacthing becomes worse. OTF , x/r would look good i think , thoughts about that?
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