TOP 2 on AKJ Rainbow 3BET Pot

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TOP 2 on AKJ Rainbow 3BET Pot

Blinds: t1,000/t2,000 (9 Players) MP+2: 12,357
CO: 44,419
BN: 104,265 (Hero)
SB: 43,097
BB: 57,064
UTG: 71,344
UTG+1: 22,840
MP: 64,550
MP+1: 120,504
Preflop (3,000) Hero is BN with A K
3 folds, MP+1 raises to 4,000, 2 folds, Hero raises to 13,000, 2 folds, MP+1 calls 9,000
Flop (30,800) K A J
MP+1 checks, Hero bets 10,164, MP+1 raises to 30,000, Hero calls 19,836
Turn (90,800) K A J 6
MP+1 bets 77,304 and is all in, Hero calls 61,065 and is all in
River (229,169) K A J 6 8
Final Pot BN lost and shows two pair, Aces and Kings.
MP+1 wins and shows three of a kind, Jacks.
MP+1 wins 212,930

Really dont know if i should be calling what do you think.

5 Comments

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q3timmy 6 years, 1 month ago

You should be calling and happy mate. Get a program like equilab, put in villains range, your hand and the flop, look at your equity vs his raising range and laugh all the way to the bank.

Goodfellahh 6 years, 1 month ago

No way im folding here, as a matter of fact, not sure if shoving the flop is better than just allow him to fire himself OTT...what you think?

Risva10 6 years, 1 month ago

I think on this flop he is not bluffing that much so maybe there is not enough initiative to just flat. I generally dont 3bet shove on flops after getting raised, other than on some extremely exploitative situations or leveling wars. Really rarely anyway, I don't know if thats good though.

kerbernes 6 years, 1 month ago

Villain calling range preflop: we can exclude QQ+ AK which are standard 4bets.
Villain x/raise range on the flop (and the range does not change after his all-in bet on the 6 blank on the turn ):
- values: QT (12 combos) JJ (3) AJ (6) perhaps, i don't see anything more (he is not x/raising KJ or AQ and then betting all-in)
- bluffs: can he bluff TT (6 combos), blocking the nut straight ? let's say half the time, so 3 combos
So you are ahead of 9 combos.
And you are below 15 combos, with little equity (4 outs turn, so 8% equity).

You need to call 61K to win 91 + 61 = 152K, so you need 61 / (152 + 61) = 29% equity for the call to be correct.
your equity is your value equity 9/(9+15) + your drawing equity 15/(9+15)*8% = 37.5 + 5 = 42.5 % equity.
Easy call.

Now, if he never bluffs in this spot + does not do this play with AJ, you have only your drawing equity (8%) and you have an easy fold.

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