theoretical question: lower variance or higher EV
Posted by tesla79
Posted by
tesla79
posted in
Low Stakes
theoretical question: lower variance or higher EV
Hello Guys!
There is a topic that m not sure about.
Often I have to chose between call and shove.
Let's say, I have AKs on CO with 20bb eff. stack.
EP limps, MP iso to 4bb.
JUST FOR THE EXAMPLE, let's say_
the call has +100 EVbb/100
the shove has +200 EVbb/100.
BUT!
If we just call, we can busted out from the tour in about 30%
if we shove. we can busted out about 40%.
It make any sense? :-D
Is it possible that we have to chose the move with the lower EV, but also with the lower variance? (because both the choice have positive EV)
TY GUYS!, GL, T79
Loading 3 Comments...
Anybody please? :-/
Well, if you call I'd argue you won't realize that equity as often as when you shoved, making shoving actually an even higher EV play than calling as you'll likely check/fold missed flops at this stack depth.
Iam not sure what ur question is but its prob is not the exact numbers right??
Do u mean when ur playing a tournament ? if so then u can argue about icm and how much ev its taking from shoving.
In a cash game its is only one simple option.
If u want to lower ur variance in cash games but that leads to losing ev, then it would not be smart, just make sure u can take the variance with a good brm.
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