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Sunday 6Max $162 FT, 30BB AQo has been 3bet by CL 18/12/2.3 (400 hands)

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

Sunday 6Max $162 FT, 30BB AQo has been 3bet by CL 18/12/2.3 (400 hands)

BN: 684689
SB: 1064204
BB: 1044606
UTG: 912504
HJ: 632616 (Hero)
CO: 811381
Preflop (30000) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to 40000, CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to 101111, BB folds

Villain is a standard tight reg.

I prefer to flat with 3:1 odds and 2:1 SPR while others prefer folding or 4b/c?

Doesn't really play much differently for me OOP and with AQs I'm always seeing a flop.

14 Comments

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Lucas Greenwood 11 years, 2 months ago

I think shoving is a pretty huge punt here, very easy call, don't commit ICM suicide, + vs described villain it seems like shoving is probably -cev.

I'd also add that "The majority of those hands are collected over the early stages of an MTT you can expect an all but none existant SB 3bet%" This makes no sense, plenty of reasons to 3bet from SB (or any position expect maybe UTG+1) at early and late stages of tournaments.


Tom M 11 years, 2 months ago

Plenty of reasons for doing it, and actually doing it are very different though. If villain is a standard tight reg as OP said, we can likely infer he has an autopilot game for early stages that doesn't include SB LAG play.

Lucas Greenwood 11 years, 2 months ago

3betting isn't LAG, if the btn opens or co opens and we have AJo or Kqo its a standard 3bet for most good players. If someone has a tight 3bet % over 400 hands, I see no reason why they would start lagging it up at a FT.

EMAIARI 11 years, 1 month ago

Anybody just folding here? Against those stats (validity aside), we can perhaps assume we are facing only QQ+ & AK?  If we call, other than AQx or QQx I'm not sure what flop we like enough to convince us otherwise.....

Daz 11 years, 1 month ago

Shoving 590k to win 170k with 30% or less equity at best versus villain's calling range. This doesn't look attractive given SB has to have a such a high 3-bet bluffing range to make this +EV - from your read/stats its suggested that his 3-bet is very narrow. However, i'm usually inclined to get it in as a shorter stack and as i'm expecting bigger stacks to try put pressure on me

I'm hoping that you can find a CALL > outright FOLDING pre given pot odds and position.

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