strange minraise

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

strange minraise

partypoker - 17500/35000 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BB: 40.9 BB (VPIP: 30.77, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 26)
UTG: 15.17 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
UTG+1: 45.49 BB (VPIP: 23.98, PFR: 17.75, 3Bet Preflop: 8.35, Hands: 1,071)
MP: 23.39 BB (VPIP: 12.00, PFR: 4.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
MP+1: 9.44 BB (VPIP: 21.80, PFR: 16.24, 3Bet Preflop: 9.59, Hands: 882)
CO: 15.07 BB (VPIP: 24.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
Hero (BTN): 22.55 BB
SB: 17.35 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 26)

8 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.49 BB) Hero has Qs As
fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, Hero ???

V shark: https://gyazo.com/d95d27f15008aedfa88be467cc2b1e52

It's very deep smth like 30/1500 left and it's PSKO
That minraise on that stack in PSKO looks very strong to me but can we fold AQs here?

2 Comments

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q3timmy 5 years, 11 months ago

I don't think so. This deep in a tournament, I would assume a lot of players are shoving hands like AK, AQ, AJ, 77-TT, etc. for 15bb, and only open raising their top 3-4% of hands and some raise folds.

Since the % of raise fold combos vs the % of raise call combos is much higher than it would be on a chip EV spot, AQs should be a shove.

You really need a strong read that he is a mega nit to fold here.

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