Scoop main event river x/r bluff
Posted by MightySparow
Posted by MightySparow posted in High Stakes
Scoop main event river x/r bluff
UTG2: DeepBlue6: 20254
LJ: Kirelli: 16096
HJ: finne1999: 18681
CO: Wing Nuts 17: 13450
BN: haz106: 27474
SB: gr33dy: 42439
BB: vupham: 1949
UTG: Ronny1981: 14072
UTG1: BIGGYtwelve: 18384
LJ: Kirelli: 16096
HJ: finne1999: 18681
CO: Wing Nuts 17: 13450
BN: haz106: 27474
SB: gr33dy: 42439
BB: vupham: 1949
UTG: Ronny1981: 14072
UTG1: BIGGYtwelve: 18384
After 46 hands he was plying 20/15, and after 2k mtts he lost 35k $ http://prntscr.com/18yno2.
Preflop
(450)
(9 Players)
DeepBlue6 was dealt
J
J
Ronny1981 folds, BIGGYtwelve folds, DeepBlue6 raises to 600, Kirelli folds, finne1999 folds, Wing Nuts 17 folds, haz106 raises to 1488, gr33dy folds, vupham folds, DeepBlue6 calls 888
Ronny1981 folds, BIGGYtwelve folds, DeepBlue6 raises to 600, Kirelli folds, finne1999 folds, Wing Nuts 17 folds, haz106 raises to 1488, gr33dy folds, vupham folds, DeepBlue6 calls 888
Flop
(3426)
Q
5
T
(2 Players)
DeepBlue6 checks,
haz106 bets 1688,
DeepBlue6 calls 1688
Turn
(6802)
Q
5
T
6
(2 Players)
DeepBlue6 checks,
haz106 checks
River
(6802)
Q
5
T
6
A
(2 Players)
DeepBlue6 checks,
haz106 bets 2998,
DeepBlue6 raises to 7681,
haz106 folds
pf flop and turn are standard imo, and river is interesting, because
-He can bluff this river with air
-Our percieved range after check is 100% showdown value (J9 and hands without SDV are just betting this river)
-Our percieved value range after x/r is mostly KJ, and some combos of two pair and sets .
-Our percieved bluff range after x/r is small since we have hands only with showdown value and people just x/c or x/f weak SDV (maybe not in this spot but in general)
So if he knows about these things he can bet/fold Ax and I think he has a lot of them in his range. Also this a main event so maybe he will be playing more cautiously (?). The problem is that this player is loosing player and I dont know if he is good for x/r bluffs, but his ITM% is high (16%) And AV.% field beaten is high too (53% is standard for solid regs)
-He can bluff this river with air
-Our percieved range after check is 100% showdown value (J9 and hands without SDV are just betting this river)
-Our percieved value range after x/r is mostly KJ, and some combos of two pair and sets .
-Our percieved bluff range after x/r is small since we have hands only with showdown value and people just x/c or x/f weak SDV (maybe not in this spot but in general)
So if he knows about these things he can bet/fold Ax and I think he has a lot of them in his range. Also this a main event so maybe he will be playing more cautiously (?). The problem is that this player is loosing player and I dont know if he is good for x/r bluffs, but his ITM% is high (16%) And AV.% field beaten is high too (53% is standard for solid regs)
Final Pot
DeepBlue6
wins 13158
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