Risk of being eliminated deep in mtt vs EV slightly above 0
Posted by ckooper
Posted by
ckooper
posted in
Mid Stakes
Risk of being eliminated deep in mtt vs EV slightly above 0
Blinds: t10,000/t20,000 (8 Players)
UTG: 283,359
MP: 121,440
UTG+1: 211,051
MP+1: 374,413
CO: 180,122
BN: 82,574 (Hero)
SB: 291,518
BB: 196,656
MP: 121,440
UTG+1: 211,051
MP+1: 374,413
CO: 180,122
BN: 82,574 (Hero)
SB: 291,518
BB: 196,656
Preflop
(30,000)
Hero is BN with
A
9
, , , ,
villian OR 17% will call me with all his range giving the pot odds if no one raise after me
Flop
(335,625)
2
Q
3
Turn
(335,625)
2
Q
3
8
River
(335,625)
2
Q
3
8
T
Final Pot
UTG+1
wins and shows a pair of Fives.
BN lost and shows high card Ace.
UTG+1 wins 207,148
BN lost and shows high card Ace.
UTG+1 wins 207,148
Hi guys. This might be a fishy question but i have de doubt and i put the hand above as a example...It´s ok to call in this spot knowing that your ev is barely positive but you know that you will be out of the tornament 50% of times when your deep in a mtt?
There where 26 left and no pay jumps until 19th.
Regards
Loading 3 Comments...
Call all day long my friend! you have 4 big blinds left, UTG will be shoving his 10 big blind stack so wide here to put pressure on table, even if UTG had played super tight, its still a call
IMO If you had 155k you should still call off here. ICM doesn't really matter when you are so far from a pay jump. You should never really consider passing on +EV edges in this situation and it only becomes relevant closer to that 18th place payjump.
+1
If this was a final table with one guy sitting on 1bb then it makes ICM sense to sit and wait for that guy with 1bb to double up close to our stack or bust given that we will make a payjump.
Given that payjumps aren't an immediate concern I call here all day long. Also if you're considering folding this I would definitely have another look at what you should be calling/shoving with when you get to around 10-15BB - it might surprise you!
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