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Party Sunday Major ($ 200, Re-Entry), 2 tables left, facing river bet in 3bet pot

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Party Sunday Major ($ 200, Re-Entry), 2 tables left, facing river bet in 3bet pot

Blinds: t6,000/t12,000 (7 Players) MP: 638,530
UTG+1: 1,174,869 (Hero)
CO: 144,834
BN: 342,001
SB: 136,693
BB: 244,123
UTG: 231,312
Preflop (18,000) Hero is UTG+1 with Q Q
UTG folds, MP raises to 24,000, Hero raises to 60,000, 4 folds, MP calls 36,000
Flop (146,400) 7 4 6
MP checks, Hero bets 73,200, MP calls 73,200
Turn (292,800) 7 4 6 8
MP checks, Hero checks
River (292,800) 7 4 6 8 A
MP bets 219,600, Hero

Hi there,

this hand is from last Sunday´s $200 re-entry on party. I believe at this point there were 13 ppl left and I was pretty active.

I have 312 hands on villain (not all from this tourney) and he seemed to be a very good player putting people in difficult spots constantly. Chips were flying though at this point as he was pretty active as well and up and down 500k chips a few times. His fold to 3bet oop was 67% and his fold to cbet in 3bet pot was zero.

Down from about 30 players up to here the deck hit me pretty hard. I was dealt starting hands that only differentiated in color a lot so ppl might have gotten a little frustrated with me.

That being said let´s get to the hand in question. The hand history seems a little messed up. Stack sizes are fine, but villain should be UTG.

I just 3bet villain 2 or 3 hands prior to this hand. He folded that time and ended up calling here. Flop seemed pretty good to cbet. In my mind his range of flatting oop here would be smth like 55-99, JTs+, QJ+, AT-AJ, some AQx. All hands that he wasnt comfortable putting in 50+bb at this point of the tourney very close to the final table. There might also be the occasional suited connector in there given that our stacks allowed for some post flop play (which maybe should have prompted me to 3bet even bigger). His 4bet % was 11,8 over the sample I have on him.

Turn is not the best card although I cant really see him having very many 5x combos. Some two pair combos might be our concern though and T9 of course. Arguments can be made for betting smth like 40% pot on the turn as well in order to get him off his potential 3 to 6 out hand combos and c/f to any further aggression. This will allow for a cheap showdown as well. I´m not sure and would like to hear your thoughts.

River A should help my range more than it does his and he leads 75% pot into me. What´s your play here?

I´ll give a few of my thoughts. As I said the A should help my range quite a bit and I cant really see him betting AT or AJ into me here as he will be outkicked a good percentage of the time. He might have some AQx combos, but I´d assume he would 4bet AK pf almost always. That leaves us - in my mind - with sets, two pair and straight combos. I really dont think he has many 5x combos here except for exactly 55. A question that I am admittedly a bit lost is whether or not he would bet two pair combos such as 76, 87 here. This is where I dont have enough experience playing tournaments and where I am definitely not sure about ppls ranges. Does he bet kind of merged here? He might, he might not and he might even c/r them hoping I have hit the ace and given that two pair combos containing an ace are not very likely on this board. In my experience villains in tournaments dont vbet very thinly (arguments can be made for a more conservative approach for sure especially at this stage of the tournament against the CL). The most of my worries at this point was T9 and T9 only to be honest.

I would appreciate any feedback you guys might have on this hand.

Thanks.

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