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MicroMillions Main Event - This hand left me a little confused

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

MicroMillions Main Event - This hand left me a little confused

Blinds: t75/t150 (9 Players) UTG: 10,093
MP: 9,137
UTG+1: 8,371
MP+1: 12,874
MP+2: 18,770 (Hero)
CO: 8,745
BN: 9,157
SB: 8,815
BB: 11,253
Preflop (225) Hero is MP+2 with Q J
3 folds, MP+1 calls 150, Hero raises to 450, 4 folds, MP+1 calls 300
Flop (1,305) 2 6 8
MP+1 checks, Hero checks
Turn (1,305) 2 6 8 K
MP+1 bets 150, Hero calls 150
River (1,605) 2 6 8 K 8
MP+1 bets 150

Both me and MP+1 are pretty deep so I raised 3x pre with QJcc. I think it's a decent hand to isolate with as he's shown that his limping range is pretty weak so I can steal and still have a hand that flops pretty well when he calls. Whiff the flop entirely, I think its better to check here as I'm not getting calls from any worse except 97 or 75 exactly. The turn adds an over card which isn't great, but really doesn't change anything and bets to give me around 10:1. After I check flop he can easily bluff with a card like this so I think it's a pretty easy call. The river he bets the same, giving me almost 12:1. I want to call because the bet is so tiny but I just don't understand what he can be doing this with that I still beat. He has 4 combos of 97 and 75 each but could very reasonably played a weak A high hand like this and just happens to be bluffing with the best hand. I don't think its ever a K but could be a 6 or a hand like 33 or 44. It's not a ton of chips to call but even with the odds, do I win this 8% of the time?

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