When is the money bubble? 19 paid would be a weird structure so I'm guessing 18 paid? When the money bubble occurs matters a ton and the average stack matters a lot also but, without knowing that, I would say aqs is quite a standard fold according to icm. There are rare circumstances where I say screw icm but as std, this is a fold. Run this in an icm calculator with the range you gave, I think you will be surprised. The money bubble matters a lot and is very undervalued by most mtt players

Now, if this is merely a pay jump bubble, then it may be quite different

Thanks John , Completely agree! , i ran it on ICMizer and learnt i should only be calling QQ+
I called and he turned over AK and i bubbled the tourney ...
Yes 18 paid ,19 remaining and the average stack was around 55K .
how different would it be if it was a payjump , say 13 ppl left and the next payout is 300$ and payout from 9-12 is 500$ .should we be more inclined to double up in a turbo structure trying to put more pressure on medium stacks and trying to get into top 3 ?

With read of this guy being inexperienced and not getting out of line I don't ever see him having worse than AK or 1010+.

Against inital opener I would gladly jam, but not after the massive 3-bet shove from an inexperienced player. He always has it here.

yeah i think the inexperienced player would flat his AJ, AT hands, probably 3 bet AA and KK and jam AQ, AK and TT-QQ, maaaaybe 99. I dont think hes ripping 30+bbs w/ AT against a UTG raise but sometimes people do random stuff. Think it's a fold though.