KTs OTB vs SB flat - Call/fold river getting 3:1?

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KTs OTB vs SB flat - Call/fold river getting 3:1?

Pacific, $11 Buy-in (1,250/2,500 blinds, 250 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 116,610 (46.6 bb)
BB: 113,987 (45.6 bb)
UTG+1: 69,085 (27.6 bb)
UTG+2: 30,372 (12.1 bb)
MP1: 69,205 (27.7 bb)
MP2: 61,284 (24.5 bb)
MP3: 36,474 (14.6 bb)
CO: 52,976 (21.2 bb)
Hero (BTN): 93,737 (37.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Ks Ts
6 folds, Hero raises to 5,000, SB calls 3,750, BB folds

Flop: (14,750) 8h Kd 2s (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets 5,611, SB calls 5,611

Turn: (25,972) 2h (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (25,972) 6h (2 players)
SB bets 12,986, Hero folds

Results: 25,972 pot
Final Board: 8h Kd 2s 2h 6h
SB mucked and won 25,972 (15,111 net)
Hero mucked Ks Ts and lost (-10,861 net)

Villain running 24/13 w 03b over 71 hands. Felt like he has KJ, KQ & 88 also maybe A2s that he can value bet river having taken this line.

What do you guys think? Do we need to call in case he's turning Ax flop floats into a bluff OTR to get me off better Ax & pp's below a K...?

4 Comments

Loading 4 Comments...

ampm93 9 years, 3 months ago

Believing he has a better K than you is putting him on the very top of his range, which he won't have a lot of the time there. You always have to call on that board. He can easily float your standard Cbet with the K high board, and then when you check the turn, he tries to take it away from you since the board didn't change significately. And he will have some worse hands than you that he raises for value on the river, like A8, K9,K7. He's on the SB and flat calls your button raise, i really don't think there is more combo hands than KJ and 88 that beats you (he'd 3bet KQ often and even 88 some of the time). Call.

iPokerrr 9 years, 3 months ago

Hey,

Easy call. V probably doesn't expect you to have a K there, you played that hand as if you made a standard c-bet then check-give up on the turn. If you are checking, it's to induce a bet from V on the river which you did but then folded which is losing money in the long run IMO.

GL at the tables!

Tdogger88 9 years, 3 months ago

The best way to understand this situation is to look at our own range here, not just our opponents. We're decently deep here so preflop we can be raising a fairly wide range here, and we're cbetting this flop with pretty much 100% of our range. There might be some arguments to check AK, KQ or K8 sometimes but we definitely have a huge cbet % on this board. When we check the turn we usually either filled up or have a hand like a middle king, any 8, or flush draws up to the J or Q. The flush comes in on the river and he could certainly have one, or he could have a better K (at this stack depth I'm not really expecting him to be 3betting KJ or KQ, but he absolutely could). But it's very likely he thought he was best with A8, A4s, 98, AT w/ Ah. We just have to call here when were getting 3:1.

sayplease 9 years, 3 months ago

there are not any draws that he could have and now bluff cause they busted so when he calls i put him on Ahigh, an 8, 2 or K. And i think we got the odds to call this one

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