KQs - FT decision - Strange situation
Posted by Federico Mazzini
Posted by
Federico Mazzini
posted in
Low Stakes
KQs - FT decision - Strange situation
Blinds: t12,500/t25,000 (7 Players)
SB: 1,505,033
BB: 596,225 (Hero)
UTG: 1,415,215
UTG+1: 20,288
MP: 1,319,742
CO: 393,365
BN: 200,132
BB: 596,225 (Hero)
UTG: 1,415,215
UTG+1: 20,288
MP: 1,319,742
CO: 393,365
BN: 200,132
Preflop
(37,500)
Hero is BB with
Q
K
, , , ,
General Infos on players:
MP is a crusher, he was opening quite wide and this was his first limp of the FT (before he was also shorter)
SB is a fish that shove any good hands he had preflop, for example against CO open he shoved 88 55bb. Postflop fast play value hands with huge sizes otherwise he was pretty passive.
MP is a crusher, he was opening quite wide and this was his first limp of the FT (before he was also shorter)
SB is a fish that shove any good hands he had preflop, for example against CO open he shoved 88 55bb. Postflop fast play value hands with huge sizes otherwise he was pretty passive.
Flop
(96,875)
3
K
8
, , , , , ,
My thought were:
"In this situation I should continue just with super top equity hands cause the bubble factor in play and my range play out mostly folding and I think I would have just a super tiny x/s range without calling (or super small)"
"In this situation I should continue just with super top equity hands cause the bubble factor in play and my range play out mostly folding and I think I would have just a super tiny x/s range without calling (or super small)"
Turn
(2,004,092)
3
K
8
7
River
(2,004,092)
3
K
8
7
5
Preflop the guy with 1bb was sit out since the start of FT and the 8bb and 10bb guys were nit as hell.
What would you do there ICM wise?
Loading 2 Comments...
You are right in the middle of ICM hell, tough situation. My thoughts:
With so little invested in the pot, just a check out of BB I think I would prefer a pre-flop raise to 3.5 - 4 bb's. If MP 4b you can get rid of it and you are still right in the situation you were before. Once we rip ~24bbs on the flop over his 3bbs invested in the pot we are only getting called by the top of range. Option two would be a 6.5bb check raise on the flop instead of an all in. Both of these leave MP open to 4b either preflop of flop to induce ICM hell so that is an issue with the above.
Quite frankly, it isn't a terrible shove as we are at the very top of our range in this situation.
Looking back, would you play it in a different manner?
I did not want to spend to much time thinking on this hand cause it's really a 1 in a million situation. The thing is that I don't know how to solve this and how it affects the strategy overall once I know in 2 hands I'd win 10BI. I can make assumptions that my bubble factor boost up so equities should be higher for any action. But it also affect the psicology in play, at the end we are just human and this is a 50€ tournament. So I guess CO limp less than normal cause he can apply TON of pressure.
In general I don't even know if I can x/r with a hand that's not set equitywise for value. I love the fact that I checked back pre and I think my flop play is not -$EV overall, but I guess other options generate more EV like the flop call, I wrote here to get help on how to use a heuristic way to solve it
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