J9o 5way on 894cc

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J9o 5way on 894cc

Blinds: t15/t30 (9 Players) SB: 3,685
BB: 1,995 (Hero)
UTG: 2,875
UTG+1: 2,755
MP: 2,204
MP+1: 3,731
MP+2: 3,175
CO: 2,600
BN: 4,130
Preflop (45) Hero is BB with J 9
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to 60, 2 folds, MP+2 calls 60, CO calls 60, BN calls 60, SB folds, Hero calls 30
Flop (315) 8 9 4
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets 150, MP+2 folds, CO folds, BN raises to 420, Hero folds, UTG+1 folds

In this hand in the BIG 22 the pot goes 5way, where the original raiser (UTG+1 - 27/19 55 hands) is a recreational player, MP2 & CO and are recreational players

BTN is (23/25 ~187 hands) REG'gish player.

How do you approach this flop and why?

Flop is wet and the recreational players bets <50% pot, making it very conceivable that BTN is raising (small) with the majority of his overcards, weakish flushdraws just to exploit the openers cbet.

TPWK doesnt seem that terrible given the spot?

wonder whats optimal here, since in game i just 'auto-folded' which is likely not the best option

Thanks in advance.

3 Comments

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Zenful 9 years, 2 months ago

Firstly 5 way people are going to be playing pretty honestly so I think he only makes this with value and some strong FD's. I've given him 44,88,99, 76cc, A2cc-A7cc, A10cc,AJcc, JTcc+ while discounting 10s+,AQo+,KQs as I think he can conceivably 3 bet all of these pre. I've included some hands like J10cc, and a few other broadway suited combinations with a BD and altogether I have a RR range of about 3% which is tight though I don't expect a reg to do this light at such a stack depth. You can fiddle with ranges which will alter things a little but in my analysis we have 35% equity against his range and we need about 33% to call so you could conceivably call flop but you will fold a lot of turns and rivers to a barrely reg OOP so I don't think it's a big mistake to exploitably fold this early and wait for a better spot.

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