Holdem Resources - Facing a raise in BB short stacked
Posted by Tieifleif
Posted by
Tieifleif
posted in
Low Stakes
Holdem Resources - Facing a raise in BB short stacked
9 - handed freeze tournament live at Crown casino
Villain(55bb) - opens to 2.2 in MP (roughly estimated to have a 25% opening range)
Folds around to hero(9bb)
I did a calculation to see how many hands that hero should play in this spot. Holdem resources came back with a very surprising answer saying that Hero should play 100% of his hands in this spot (88% call and 12%shove) I knew that big blind would have to play the majority of his hands in this spot but 100% seems a bit excessive? I am worried that I might have made a mistake somewhere in the calculation. Would be good if someone could confirm this to be correct or identify my mistake? This calculation is based on Chip EV since I assumed ICM is roughly negligible early in the tournament and I dont know the payout structure etc?
Here is the hand:
https://hands.holdemresources.net/?id=1cxchrsvyfhc2
Loading 3 Comments...
Hey, I'm going to move this to the MTT section for you. You should get some more responses there.
Hey Tieifleif!
You didn't make a mistake with the calculation! The issue is that when you allow a player to call in HRC it ignores positional + range advantages for postflop play and models the hand so both players realize 100% of their equity in the pot (i.e. that the hand is always checked down in any lines that go postflop). In practice this obviously will not be the case (even this shallow), and the IP player w/ the stronger range will realize > 100% of their equity and OOP will realize < 100%. This is going to result in your worst defends becoming -EV and some hands moving from defends to reships.
Hey Ryan Martin,
That makes a lot of sense, thanks a lot!
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