Gross river spot vs seemingly recreational player
Posted by CheaterBot
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CheaterBot
posted in
Mid Stakes
Gross river spot vs seemingly recreational player
I keep trying to post as a hand history and am using the "raw hand history" as specified but am getting an "invalid hand" error. Anyone else running into this problem?
But on to the hand. This was about 20 hands into a $44 Bounty Builder. At this point MP+2 had been playing very loose passive 60/5. He snap jammed over my check-raise on the river. What do you think his range is? Are we too high up to ever fold here? What do you guys think?
PokerStars - 35/70 Ante 11 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
MP: 66.64 BB
MP+1: 100.74 BB
MP+2: 174.51 BB
CO: 69.67 BB
Hero (BTN): 64.87 BB
SB: 22.87 BB
BB: 82.53 BB
UTG: 66.4 BB
UTG+1: 139.2 BB
9 players post ante of 0.16 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.91 BB) Hero has Tc Js
fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+2 raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB
Flop : (9.41 BB, 4 players) 3h Jd 5c
SB checks, BB checks, MP+2 checks, Hero bets 3.1 BB, fold, BB calls 3.1 BB, MP+2 calls 3.1 BB
Turn : (18.71 BB, 3 players) Td
BB checks, MP+2 checks, Hero bets 9.36 BB, fold, MP+2 calls 9.36 BB
River : (37.43 BB, 2 players) 5s
MP+2 checks, Hero bets 18.71 BB, MP+2 raises to 93.57 BB
Loading 2 Comments...
Yep, tricky spot, not helped by your river bet imho. You might be facing A5s, an overpair, pocket 10s or 3s or a complete bluff. For me, a fold (but I wouldn't have made that river bet in the first place).
Why not a 3bet preflop? With that kind of move you just let SB and BB to have a great price to see flop and play a 4 way pot is not that good.
Your betting a 1/3 of the pot on the flop and that will be a good price for an middle pair, a backdoor flush, straight to call profitable.
on the flop (3h Jd 5c) we can put the other player on, AJ combos, 33 (3 combos) 55 (3 combos) JJ (1 combo), 35 (9 combos) and you can also count J3 and J5 combos and also A5, A3, combos with backdoor flush draw. A ton of hands would call you flop.
on the turn Td we can maintain the J5, J3, AJ and all the A5, A3, with backdoor flush and still the 42 combos. And say that 33, 55, JJ would raise us on the turn.
on the river we can maintain JJ, J5 and A5 that are winning us. The J3, AJ would call on the river the other hands can bluff us off but since you are betting flop, turn and river I don't think you are facing a bluff.
Assuming I'm playing like that I would bet 1/2 pot, 2/3 pot and check river. I would bet like this because the flop has sb and bb all over it and for sure a 1 street of value you will get, after making the second pair I'm going to extract value from openstr and flusdraws.
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