Facing river overbet early in Mega Sunday Million
Posted by Hoothoot
Posted by Hoothoot posted in High Stakes
Facing river overbet early in Mega Sunday Million
Blinds: t150/t300 (9 Players)
MP: 17,328
MP+1: 18,996
MP+2: 4,543
CO: 19,840
BN: 40,008
SB: 11,620
BB: 20,512
UTG: 23,230 (Hero)
UTG+1: 23,923
MP+1: 18,996
MP+2: 4,543
CO: 19,840
BN: 40,008
SB: 11,620
BB: 20,512
UTG: 23,230 (Hero)
UTG+1: 23,923
Preflop
(450)
Hero is UTG with
8
9
, , ,
Flop
(2,130)
7
5
8
, ,
Turn
(4,030)
7
5
8
7
, ,
River
(8,930)
7
5
8
7
3
,
Hero?
Flop and turn are standard, the tricky part is the river. I would expect villain to 3bet JJ+ for sure, probably TT+, and I block 99 which would be his best flatting overpair. He can't have many 7x combos: only 2 combos of 76s and 2 combos of 87s. I also block 88, and the board pairing leaves only 4 combos of 77 and 55. I don't see him showing up with 64s or 69s. I don't block hearts of course, but his bet sizing is super polarizing, and there are plenty of bricked draws he could have like 9Ts, JTs, and J9s, most of which I don't block. Plus he knows I'm capped, so it would be a perfect board to put max pressure on me. Then again, it's pretty early in the SM, so I don't know how likely a huge bluff is at this stage. Thoughts?
Loading 5 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.