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Facing a 3.66x 3bet size 99 from SB vs open UTG +2 with 99 and 28.5 bbs

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Facing a 3.66x 3bet size 99 from SB vs open UTG +2 with 99 and 28.5 bbs

BB: gokaos: 22459
UTG: xxKIRANxx: 33854
UTG1: Wil_PipA: 29646
UTG2: buychips77: 34326
LJ: piciu16: 29032
HJ: edmetzger: 55413
CO: l-epiph: 46503
BN: kolian505: 15409
SB: Gedeon81: 62480
Preflop (1800) (9 Players)
buychips77 was dealt 9 9
xxKIRANxx folds, Wil_PipA folds, buychips77 raises to 2400, piciu16 folds, edmetzger folds, l-epiph folds, kolian505 folds, Gedeon81 raises to 8800, gokaos folds

Villain playing 28/26 with a 3bet % of 11% on 27 possible attempts. From the SB he has 12.5% on 8 possible attempts.

What do you have to say about the 3bet sizing of 3.66x? Do you fold or can we ship here??

Thanks

3 Comments

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Tom M 11 years, 2 months ago

Based on his stats and your stack size I think that he thinks 3 betting from the SB here looks really strong and he's picking a spot to make a play.

I think folding may be too weak vs. him.

CairyHunts 11 years, 2 months ago

I think his sizing is indicative that he wants you to either shove or fold, so i'm ranging him here to AQ/AK and other broadway types of hands more often than pairs stronger than ours like TT/JJ. Kinda think QQ+ is a bit unlikely, expect a smaller sizing. Dunno if people actually have a 3bet bluffrange from the sb in lowstakes especially vs an UTG+2 open. Again think that the sizing kinda says that he's got a hand he doesnt like playing OOP in a 3bet pot, so think GII here is fine overall.

Nital J 11 years, 2 months ago

Very villain dependent spot where, given the context you provided, seems like a clear jam.  It would be odd for him to be 3betting a worse pair, but you can't miss the opportunity to take a flip in a juiced pot like this. 

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