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Eureka ME Seat Qualifier - reg overpot jam river

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Eureka ME Seat Qualifier - reg overpot jam river

SB: UhhMee: 9751
BB: ondra123: 5786
UTG: BennyBills: 8708
LJ: Nielsml: 11200
HJ: Timmmy182: 11746
CO: MartinAltman: 5166
BN: KronoPP: 1142
Preflop (300) (7 Players)
Nielsml was dealt J J
BennyBills folds, Nielsml raises to 400, Timmmy182 folds, MartinAltman folds, KronoPP folds, UhhMee raises to 1405, ondra123 folds, Nielsml calls 1005
Flop (3110) Q 4 4 (2 Players)
UhhMee bets 1200, Nielsml calls 1200
Turn (5510) Q 4 4 7 (2 Players)
UhhMee checks, Nielsml checks
River (5510) Q 4 4 7 Q (2 Players)
UhhMee bets 7121, and is all in

around 18-20 left in this 2R1A Seat qualifier for ME. 1 seat only, top 6 get ~200 EUR. 

Villan has been active, but not out of line. I decided to flat his big 3 bet to pot control and keep in his worse range. 

Think flop is pretty standard and turn also though I guess you could make an argument for betting? 

Although I have a few combos of queens in my range by the time we reach river, my hand is pretty face up. I think by jamming he really accomplies to become extremly polarized, either a queen or air - I think he bets kk+ on turn.

Call or fold?


2 Comments

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Linc 11 years, 6 months ago

doesnt have to only valuebet Qx there imo, could do it with AA KK too expecting to get some herocalls from smaller pairs (55-TT (JJ)) but its unlikely (turn doesnt have to bet these hands imo can def sometimes check). To me feels like this is not a spot in which most regs would want to overshove as a bluff given board judging from my experience. Although this being a sat, its a little different as one can expect to have more foldequity when making huge polarized bets since people tend to be more careful with their tournament lifes (for same reason makes it less likely that he overshoves AA KK there). Although in this sat only one seat gets paid so that again changes things a bit, what i was talking about would be more the case with several seats getting paid, not sure how much the 200euro in top 6 are a factor here.

Really tough to analyze this without having been at the table and having a feel for the flow of things there. 

edit: wrote that ill say fold but really want to stay undecided here as i dont want to judge this spot without having been at the table myself. Def think its a very tough spot esp since uhhmee did several weird things here. Given that only one seat is paid, things for us change too and bluffcatching becomes more lucrative again, still tough to figure out his frequencies for both bluffs and valuebets here though.


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