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Crown Up Guy, aggro ICM call at $51k FT

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

Crown Up Guy, aggro ICM call at $51k FT

Sorry I don't have the HH. Stacks are as follows
Timex 85,172
Nopaleva 56,944
Ben86 362,735
Cejakas14 299,496
Fish2013 242,716
CrownupGuy 100,187
BB 5K
Fish shoves BvB for 20BBs effective and Fedor makes what looks like to me a fairly aggro call with 55, he called fairly quickly.
The bubble has burst so every one is guaranteed $126,500 and 5th pays $172,500. Given there is an 11x stack and 30 min blind levels I really disagree with the call. I am interested in peoples views on the spot, obviously not something you encounter too often with a $50k pay jump. Does anyone agree with the call and what do people think ranges are likely to look like in game.
Both ranges are Malmuth-Harville. The first assumes Fish is shoving 90% and that has 55 at the bottom of Fedor's PP calling range.
I think the second is more realistic but I could be way off but I did watch down to the deal and seemed every one was playing tight/solid.
So the second has Fish raise calling 99+, AQ and shoving what I think are the next best 36.7% of shoves. I don't think that is too conservative given he can limp/call, limp/fold, raise/call, raise/fold. I think it's highly unlikely he is shoving any where close to 90% or even 60%.
Seems like a massively high variance spot for one of the best MTTers in the game right now.

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