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cold4bet bluff 200left sunday million

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

cold4bet bluff 200left sunday million

CO: 791878
BN: 551093
SB: 392239
BB: 520802 (Hero)
UTG: 544029
UTG1: 242013
UTG2: 499295
LJ: 375356
HJ: 745873


~200 left just got moved to a new table 4 hands ago havnt played a hand.UTG2 has opened 5 of the last 7 hands. btn limp raised blind vs blind so has some moves. i have no previous hands with either player
Preflop (30000) (9 Players)
Hero was dealt 2 A
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, UTG2 raises to 40599, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to 87500, SB folds, Hero raises to 164401, UTG2 raises to 497295, and is all in, BN folds, Hero folds
Final Pot
UTG2 wins 454302

is it worth taking this high variance spot against randoms on such a small sample size? also bet sizing. made it on the big side as i didnt want anyone to flat still think i can get away with ~20k less. also the merits of playing a 25bb(fold pre) stack vs34bb stack(if i win) vs 16bb stack(if i loose) at this stage. 


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