Can we find a fold

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Can we find a fold

$10+1
1000+ entrants
350+ remaining
500/1000
My stack: 120k
Villain: 130k
Avg: 27,000ish
I raise MP with QdQh to 2300
Villain raises in the CO to 6000.
I call
Flop is As Qs 6h
I check
Villain bets 8000
I call.
Turn 6s
I check
Villain bets 13,500
I raise to 29,500
Villain goes all in... 76,000 effective.

I figured this is a must call.. but before I did I thought: I gotta be against AA, or air, right? What do I beat that isn't complete air? AK, AQ, KsXs, KsKx? JsTs, maybe some other s-s combos..

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JCJordypants 8 years ago

Pretty sick spot. Seems unlikely that that villain would just 3bet jam AK on the turn unless he was a rec player or turning it into a weird bluff. AQ is a more reasonable hand but we so heavily block that which doesn't help.

It really does look a lot like AA and I wouldn't be surprised if that's pretty much all it is. Hard to see villain 3betting a flush draw when the board is paired and being so deep stacked at this stage of a tournament. Couldn't fault you for calling but I wonder if this is one of those spots where we just have to nit fold everything but AA/66 until we get info that villain might be a rec player.

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