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Can I fold this to a turn raise by villain with a weird stack?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Can I fold this to a turn raise by villain with a weird stack?

Blinds: t125/t250 (9 Players) MP+2: 13,053
CO: 7,756
BN: 6,167
SB: 4,075
BB: 4,869
UTG: 6,322
UTG+1: 4,355
MP: 17,936
MP+1: 9,717 (Hero)
Preflop (375) Hero is MP+1 with T J
3 folds, Hero raises to 525, MP+2 calls 525, CO folds, BN raises to 1,100, 2 folds, Hero calls 575, MP+2 calls 575
Flop (3,945) 8 6 A
Hero checks, MP+2 checks, BN checks
Turn (3,945) 8 6 A Q
Hero bets 1,814, MP+2 calls 1,814, BN raises to 3,728, Hero raises to 8,587 and is all in, MP+2 folds, BN calls 1,309 and is all in
River (19,383) 8 6 A Q A
Final Pot BN wins and shows a flush, Ace high.
MP+1 lost and shows a flush, Ace high.
BN wins 15,833

I've considered folding pre, but given his weird squeeze size i decided to call with decent odds.

4 Comments

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Lljag 9 years, 8 months ago

I think when villain checks on this flop he either has the nuts (KdQd or maybe Kd9d?) or nothing (he'd probably bet Kdx -like KKd or AKd- or Qdx - like QQd or AQd). So when he raises you OTT, I don't think he is semi-bluffing or value betting worse (a little FD like 97dd would have bet OTF and there is no more 87dd, J9dd, T9dd, T8dd, etc.). Since the likelihood that you both have flushes are small, I'd do the same than you did in game but I'm wondering if we are not here in a spot where we can reduce villain's range to one hand (KdQd) and overfold (bet/fold) OTT.

Lljag 9 years, 8 months ago

"Wouldn't he reshove his whole stack as squeeze with KQd?" I don't know (because I don't know his tendencies) , You were at his table not me :p. Like I said above, I didn't see Q4d on his range. For me it was KQd or K9d. But with his line, I think you are very (very) often behind so you can bet/fold OTT (you block a lot a small flushes with your hand).

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